Browse markets
Real events, objectively resolved. These feed the questions inside Parlay rooms.
Politicssoon
Who controls the House after the midterms?
2026 US midterm elections
55%
Democrats
Democrats55%Republicans45%
2.36M volNov 4
Politicssoon
US tariff rate on China on July 1?
Effective average rate
62%
10-20%
10-20%62%
> 20%32%
< 10%6%
1.21M volin 1d
Politicssoon
Andy Burnham becomes next UK PM?
Labour leadership after Starmer resignation
72%
Burnham
Burnham72%Someone else28%
1.10M volSep 15
Politicssoon
US government shutdown before October?
Funding lapse before 1 Oct
67%
No
Yes33%No67%
1.01M volOct 1
Politicssoon
US-Iran final deal within the 60-day roadmap?
By mid-August deadline
65%
No
Yes35%No65%
890K volAug 15
Politicssoon
US-China trade talks announced in July?
Formal bilateral meeting
58%
No
Yes42%No58%
780K volJul 31
Politicssoon
Powell still Fed chair at year-end?
Kevin Warsh took over in 2026
96%
No
Yes4%No96%
760K volDec 31
Politicssoon
Major SCOTUS ruling before 1 Jul?
End-of-term decisions
70%
Yes
Yes70%No30%
680K volin 1d
Politicsopen
New US tariffs on the EU announced in June?
Official action
68%
No
Yes32%No68%
560K voltoday · 23:59 UTC
Politicsresolved
US-Iran framework agreement by July?
Islamabad Memorandum signed 17 Jun
Result
Yes
Yes ✓88%No12%
980K volresolved