Browse markets
Real events, objectively resolved. These feed the questions inside Parlay rooms.
On-chainsoon
OpenAI files S-1 in 2026?
IPO reportedly delayed
72%
No
Yes28%No72%
1.40M volDec 31
On-chainsoon
Anthropic files to IPO before OpenAI?
First public S-1
74%
Anthropic
Anthropic74%OpenAI26%
1.36M volDec 31
On-chainopen
New frontier AI model shipped this month?
Top-lab release in June
66%
Yes
Yes66%No34%
1.36M voltoday · 23:59 UTC
On-chainsoon
Base TVL above $15B by Aug 1?
58%
No
No58%Yes42%
1.35M volAug 1
On-chainopen
Nvidia market cap above $4T on 30 Jun?
Close-of-day valuation
95%
Yes
Yes95%No5%
1.12M voltoday · 20:00 UTC
On-chainsoon
Base tops 2M daily active addresses in July?
52%
No
No52%Yes48%
1.10M volJul 31
On-chainopen
SEC approves a spot SOL ETF in June?
Any issuer
85%
No
Yes15%No85%
1.10M voltoday · 23:59 UTC
On-chainopen
Nvidia new all-time-high close before July?
Nasdaq close
56%
No
Yes44%No56%
1.02M voltoday · 20:00 UTC
On-chainsoon
Spot BTC ETFs net positive week of Jun 30?
Aggregate flows
52%
Inflow
Inflow52%Outflow48%
840K volin 5d
On-chainopen
Open-source LLM tops a major benchmark in June?
LMArena / MMLU-class
50%
Yes
Yes50%No50%
780K voltoday · 23:59 UTC
On-chainopen
Stablecoin supply hits an ATH in June?
Aggregate supply
71%
Yes
Yes71%No29%
690K voltoday · 23:59 UTC
On-chainsoon
ETH base fee above 8 gwei on 1 Jul snapshot?
Mainnet base fee
55%
No
Yes45%No55%
520K volin 2d
On-chainsoon
Ethereum blob fees above 100 ETH in July's first week?
Total blob fees, 7-day
62%
No
Yes38%No62%
520K volJul 7
On-chainresolved
Spot BTC ETFs net positive this week?
Aggregate flows
Result
Outflow
Inflow58%Outflow ✓42%
900K volresolved
On-chainresolved
Base TVL up week-over-week?
DefiLlama, Sunday snapshot
Result
Up
Up ✓61%Down39%
720K volresolved
On-chainresolved
ETH gas above 10 gwei at snapshot?
Mainnet base fee
Result
No
Yes45%No ✓55%
540K volresolved