Macro
S&P 500 above 5,600 on July 4 week?
Last close before July 4
96%
Yes
in 4d closeprobability · Yes
Outcomes
Yes96%No4%
Resolution
Rule. YES if S&P 500 closes above 5,600 on the last trading day before July 4. S&P at ~7,473.
on Base · provably fair
the decathlon
the decathlon
of prediction
Stake $PARLAY and predict crypto, sports, macro and politics. Out-predict the table and take the pot. No house edge, no insider edge.