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Macro

Next US CPI above consensus?

Headline YoY vs. survey median
Result
At / below
Resolved · At / below · settled on-chain, 97% paid to winners, 2% burned
Jul 11 closeprobability · At / below

Outcomes

Above34%At / below66%

Resolution

Rule. YES if headline CPI YoY prints above the Bloomberg survey median at release.

Source
BLS CPI release
Resolves
Jul 11
24h volume
612K $PARLAY
Liquidity
340K $PARLAY