the decathlon of prediction.
Real markets across crypto, sports, macro and politics, played in fast rooms. No one is an insider on everything. Out-predict the table and take the pot. 97% to winners, 2% burned, 1% to the house.
4
Rooms live now
423M
24h volume · $PARLAY
97%
Returned to players
Macro markets
All marketsMacrosoon
Fed cuts by the September meeting?
Cumulative cut by 16 Sep 2026
88%
No
Yes12%No88%
1.42M volSep 16
Macrosoon
Next US CPI above consensus?
Headline YoY vs. survey median
66%
At / below
Above34%At / below66%
612K volJul 11
Macrosoon
Next US jobs report above consensus?
Nonfarm payrolls vs survey
53%
At / below
Above47%At / below53%
980K volin 2d
Macroopen
US 10Y yield above 4.5% on 30 Jun?
Treasury close
64%
No
Yes36%No64%
720K voltoday · 20:00 UTC
Macrosoon
ECB cuts at its next meeting?
Governing Council decision
56%
Hold
Cut44%Hold56%
610K volJul 23
Macroopen
Gold above $3,500/oz on 30 Jun?
Spot close
96%
Yes
Yes96%No4%
880K voltoday · 21:00 UTC
Macrosoon
US recession called in 2026?
NBER or two negative GDP quarters
73%
No
Yes27%No73%
1.24M volDec 31
Macroopen
Consumer Confidence beats consensus?
Conference Board
54%
Miss
Beat46%Miss54%
480K voltoday · 14:00 UTC
Macroopen
Brent crude above $80 on 30 Jun?
Front-month close
97%
No
Yes3%No97%
640K voltoday · 20:00 UTC
Macrosoon
US 10Y yield above 4.4% on 3 Jul?
Treasury close
60%
No
Yes40%No60%
540K volin 4d
Macrosoon
S&P 500 above 5,600 on July 4 week?
Last close before July 4
96%
Yes
Yes96%No4%
1.05M volin 4d
Macrosoon
Warsh mentions rate hikes in next presser?
Next scheduled Fed press conference
72%
Yes
Yes72%No28%
720K volJul 30
Macrosoon
Fed decision at the July 2026 FOMC?
FOMC, July 29, 2026
50%
Hold
Hold50%
Cut 25 bps46%
Hike4%
3.80M volJul 29
Macrosoon
US CPI above 3% YoY in the July print?
60%
No
No60%Yes40%
1.45M volAug 12
Macrosoon
Brent crude above $80 by Aug 1?
64%
No
No64%Yes36%
980K volAug 1
Macroopen
DXY above 105 at month-end?
US Dollar Index
98%
No
Yes2%No98%
580K voltoday · 20:00 UTC
Macrosoon
US core PCE above 3.0% YoY in the June print?
June data, released late July
72%
Above
Above72%At / below28%
780K volJul 31
Macrosoon
US jobless claims above 225k next week?
Week ending Jul 2
58%
Below
Above42%Below58%
520K volin 3d
Open roomsstake, pick a side, take the pot
All roomsSpin & Go· 25×Gold
Fed decision today: rates?
Hold79%
Cut 25bps19%
Hike2%
8 Q2/33M pot
Sit & GoGold
BTC closes above $66,000 today?
No63%
Yes37%
10 Q6/88M pot
Heads-Up Live
2026 World Cup: winner?
Spain16%
France15%
Argentina13%
9 Qin play1M pot
Sit & GoSilver
US tariff rate on China on July 1?
10-20%62%
> 20%32%
< 10%6%
12 Q11/168M pot
Spin & Go· 120×Silver
ETH above $1,850 at Friday close?
No56%
Yes44%
8 Q1/31.50M pot
Season Live
2026 World Cup: winner?
Spain16%
France15%
Argentina13%
32 Qin play1B pot
Heads-UpGold
Argentina vs Algeria: result?
Argentina82%
Draw13%
Algeria5%
9 Q1/22M pot
Sit & GoMicro
Base TVL up week-over-week?
Up61%
Down39%
10 Q17/202M pot
On the roadmaplocked for now, dropping soon
soon
AI forecasting co-pilot
An agent that grades your calibration and surfaces the edge you didn't know you had.
soon
Seasons and tournaments
Climb the ladder, split the prize pool, earn a title that actually sticks.
soon
Creator payouts
Launch a market, earn a share of every trade it pulls in. The question is the asset.
soon
Mainnet and $PARLAY
The token goes live on Base. Fixed supply, real stakes, provable settlement.